Layaways and Lamentations

Monday, February 13, 2012
By dreeves

'Delayed Gratification' by James Surowiecki in the New Yorker

Say you have a hard deadline in a month and you know you’ll end up down to the wire. You check the exact time of the deadline and see that it’s 9am. Groan! That portends a brutal all-nighter. Why (oh why) couldn’t they have made it 9pm the previous night? (Same story for deadlines that are timed so as to ruin a holiday.)

Note that that lamentation is patently crazy.

Nothing prevents you from setting your own deadline 12 hours ahead of the real one. But I’ve heard such lamentations often, including from myself. Such people are classic akratics and should derive huge value from forcing themselves to make steady progress as the deadline approaches, eliminating that all-nighter. They rarely do though. Instead they (we) resolve to pretend the deadline is earlier, and then throw that pretense out the window and pull the all-nighter on the last night anyway. StickK and Beeminder (and others) are offering something hugely valuable for such people.

Next week we’ll blog about one such person solving that problem beautifully with Beeminder. UPDATE: blog.beeminder.com/gandalf

Layaways

Here’s another example of akrasia: failure to save up for an important purchase, like a new washing machine. This is a real problem for people living on a limited income and with poor credit — a combination which has been more common since the financial crash of 2008. What’s needed for akratics such as these is a way to force yourself to gradually set aside small amounts of money until you’ve saved up enough for the big purchase. As James Surowiecki points out in The New Yorker last month, an old solution to that problem is regaining popularity in the current recession: layaway.

As with all commitment devices, using a layaway is superficially irrational. You’re strictly better off setting the money aside in a bank account, earning interest and retaining flexibility to reevaluate the purchase. But you’re akratic, so the money won’t stay in that bank account long enough. Thus a commitment device, even a somewhat costly one like layaway, may be quite rational.

Or you could beemind your saving, as some Beeminder users are currently doing. If that goes well, you’ll hear from them here as well.

 

Illustration: Christoph Niemann, The New Yorker

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  • http://twitter.com/MarioVult Mario Vult

    My Monthly Challenge will act as my commitment device, but I’m open to using beeminder for a monthly challenge later on. You have any good ideas? Has to beee something fun ;)

  • http://beeminder.com Melanie Reeves Wicklow

    Hi Mario,
    There are actually a lot of ideas on the goal sign up page.  Those should definitely be posted in a more readily available place too, thanks for making us think of that!  I’ll paste them in here for convenience for now:

    Reducing credit card balance to zero by 2011
    Blogging twice a month
    Getting rid of 100 possessions in the next year
    Being able to do 50 pushups by September 22
    Weighing 38 ‘jillians’ (weight loss without revealing weight)
    Eating, on average, 5 servings of fruit/vegetables per day
    Drinking 100 different beers by 2011
    Practicing guitar 7 hours per week
    Staying at or below 148 pounds
    Doing 45 minutes of resistance training per week
    Gaining no more than 30 pounds during pregnancy
    Biking 10 miles in 24 minutes
    Biking 1956 miles in 2011 (until odometer hits 5000)
    Spending 40 hours a week building Beeminder (we eat our own dog food!)
    Biking 50 miles per week leading up to the NYC Century
    Reading Ulysses by December 15
    Clearing out 1 email per day till inbox is at 25 messages

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1100004 Jill Renaud

    I actually did something like this with my thesis while an undergraduate.  I made a bet with my adviser that I could turn in a complete copy 3.5 weeks before the actual due date.  In return I got a single beer.  It was more of a pride thing, but boy those last 3.5 weeks were great – all of my friends were so worried about getting their stuff done while I was on a beach in Florida (at a scientific conference of course).  Better yet, I got to proof read for little things like typos during those last 3 weeks.